Showing posts with label romania. Show all posts
Showing posts with label romania. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Why is Romania poor, despite being rich in natural resources?

Here is the bad:

1) Very high taxes on fuel - which results in artificially high prices on almost every good (since most are transported by truck).

2) A very large segment of the population is employed by the government, being basically parasites of the economy instead of producers.

3) Economy-killing regulations imposed by the EU to protect Western producers (Romania was intended as a consumption market of the EU, not a competitor to politically-connected Western producers).

4) Poor infrastructure (roads, legal, etc.) causing delays and inefficiency.

5) Poor labor laws - which make it hard to fire people on the spot, lots of payroll taxes, and other burdens which make companies reluctant to hire people "legally"; as many people work "without papers", they do not have access to loans to buy cars or houses - and must pay for everything up front in cash.

6) Communist-era bureaucracy which makes it really tough to be an entrepreneur, and do it legally. Since most of the economy is forced to operate outside of the legal sphere, there is no legal stability for real investment.

7) Large regulatory bodies which basically act as corrupt power-brokers - shutting down outside companies which threaten those of people with ties to the politicians.

8) Demographics (aging population no longer fit for the workforce).

Notice I did not mention corruption - as that is a result (and not a cause) of the large number of regulations, and the large power the central government has.

Here is the good:

Romania was doing ok economically before the Communist invasion. Before WW2, its economy was much stronger than Spain's or Portugal's for example (although not quite in the league of industrial powerhouses such as Czechoslovakia). After Communism, it became one of the poorest countries in Europe. Now it is rising again, a middle class finally exists, and there are also positives:

1) Internet connectivity: with a very tech-savvy youth, and one of the fastest internet connections in the world, it might be a blessing that traditional employment is discouraged by the laws. Thus, many young people work online with foreign firms and develop skills for the future.

2) Education, despite all hysteria about how it has gone down the drain, is still ok - judging from how well Romanians emigrants fare in their new countries.

3) National debt: still very low for an EU country, the government lives (almost) within their means and don't spend much more than they take in.

4) Stable national currency - the government does not debase the national currency for short-term political gain. Thus inflation has been kept in check for a while, leading to monetary stability (not sure if to give Romanian politicians credit, or their IMF/World Bank/EU overlords, but who cares, given the result is positive).

5) Very low crime rate, even for a European country.

6) Romanians perceive Romania as a very poor backward country, because many have the opportunity to travel abroad, and compare it with Western European capitalist countries. Thus, the image is much grimmer. They would do better comparing Romania in 2014 with Romania in 1990, 2000, and 2010 to see it has gone a long way toward more stability and prosperity. There are lots of things to do, but the old generations raised in Communism have to die off, the Nanny State mentality has to disappear, and things can continue to improve - slowly but surely.

That is, until the next superpower decides to invade :)

Thursday, November 19, 2009

My cousin's thoughts on Romanian politics

My cousin Cristian Vimer, who lives in New York City, has given me his gracious permission to post his comment on my blog. I have nothing else worth adding; therefore, here are his comments on the status of Romanian politics (applicable to any modern democracy):

Ladies and gentle RBPA men,

I am pretty sure that my opinion will be considered rather absurd by most of our members here who probably have clear sympathies for one candidate or another in the forthcoming Romanian elections, but I have to say it nonetheless. So, here it goes, just bear with me for a couple of minutes: as I was meditating the other day about a problem that haunted many sleepless nights of all responsible Romanians, since the days of Caragiale - "Who do I vote for?" - and, I realized this is the first time in my life I don't have a clear choice - I equally dislike all the candidates, for various reasons which are not really important for this conversation. Moreover, my mom called me one day to convince me to go to vote to save the country from the evil Base, who wants to get rid of the Parliament, and my pop called me to vote for the aforementioned Base, to save the country from the claws of all the securisti from the other parties.

Sooo, as I was staying there cursing the candidates mothers and deciding there is no point in voting this time, a sudden thought illuminated my brain like the light bulb above the cartoon character's head: I just realized that for the first time after 1989 Romania finally became one of the world's civilized countries (Huh? What?). Hey, hey, no need to throw rotten eggs, just listen to my point for a second: using my keen sense of observation, as well as my experience as an inhabitant of a civilized part of the planet (I was talking about Brooklyn), I noticed that the advanced democratic systems are tuned in such a way that it doesn't really matter who becomes the President of a specific country (and here in the US, probably the President's role is much more important than in the European Union, where, on top of everybody we have an European Parliament). Do you think that everything will change if, say, Kelemen Hunor wins the elections in Romania? Or Gigi Becali? Or Barack Obama, or Eleva Porno (I'd vote for her, but I couldn't find her on any list)? Think about it for a second: we are in the European Union, we have laws copied from the European ones (not that we respect them, but that's a whole different subject), the direction is set for the next decades, so that's that. I don't know if this is good or bad, if it's democracy, Judeo-Masonic Plot, New World Order, lizard men or common sense, but I don't think the country will change its course whether the next president is called Base or Lily, or Geoana.

So go ahead and vote on Sunday based solely on beautiful eyes, I think it's the first time it doesn't really matter. Or maybe I just turned into a blase (with an accent) old guy who knows everything...
And those were my five pence on the subject.

Cristian Vimer

PS - no time and patience to edit it, so I apologize in advance for any errors (not in judgement, of course).